Population & Societies

à partir du Janvier 2005
Dernier numéro: Mars 2011

Institut National d'études Démographiques
ISSN 0184-7783

[Content not included in vLex Global Academic]

Naviguer par Numéro

Description de la Source

Tous les numéros

Année 2005

Num. 408, Janvier 2005

The World Population Over the Next Three Centuries: Explosion, Implosion or Equilibrium?

The United Nations has just published projections of the world population until 2300. The population is expected to increase for fifty years then stabilize... or explode or implode, depending on whether fertility remains durably above or below replacement level. But how much value should we place on projections so far into the future? François Héran explains that this exercise in demography-fiction is useful if it teaches us how to avoid the disaster scenarios of population explosion or implo...